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THE CLOSING POST

MARKET EDITION · 2026.09.16 · NEW YORK CLOSE

CLOSING NOTEPast editions ↓

U.S. Core Rotation

QQQ / VTV / CASH

Market risk is still rising.

Nasdaq still leads value, with QQQ still below its 50-day average, keeping the outlook cautious.

RotationNR35

-5.18%Growth leading

Falling1D -2.42 pp

TrendQQQ

Below MA50

Close 704.75 · MA50 709.88

vs. MA50 -0.72%

Next Session

  • Watch whether QQQ can hold both its 50-day and 200-day trends.
View public data →
Close+ email: exact target weights · allocation changes · next-session timing →

Market commentary, not personalized investment advice.

Know the next target allocation after every close.

  • Target weightsExact QQQ, VTV and cash percentages
  • Allocation changesWhat increased or decreased, in percentage points
  • Execution noteWhen the new target takes effect and why it changed

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RECENT POSTS

Recent closing decisions

How the balance between Nasdaq growth and value has changed.

  1. Nasdaq lead widensLATESTReading -5.18 · Swinging toward growthA negative reading currently favors growth.
  2. Nasdaq lead widensReading -2.74 · Swinging toward growthA negative reading currently favors growth.
  3. Nasdaq lead widensReading -2.70 · Swinging toward growthA negative reading currently favors growth.
  4. Rotation turns to NasdaqReading -1.38 · Swinging toward growthA negative reading currently favors growth.
  5. Nasdaq weakness easesReading +0.89 · Swinging toward growthA positive reading currently favors value.
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PUBLIC DATA DESK

Public data behind the signal

View all data →
VIX Futures Positioning · CFTC-5.39072026-09-16XLY / XLP · Cyclicals vs. Defensives-14.64612026-09-16Dow Jones · DIA 1Y Cumulative Return14.00872026-09-16Dow 30 Market Breadth66.672026-09-16